This is no longer a guess.. The era of China may be before the end of the era of Trump

Donald Trump is waiting for Xi Jinping’s visit on September 23. Relations between the leaders of the world’s two most powerful countries have oscillated between declarations of pure friendship or extreme hostility.

These fluctuations are primarily due to the American president, who moves very smoothly and quickly from one extreme to the other, while his Chinese counterpart avoids making unbalanced or reckless statements.

Donald Trump has declared an all-out economic war on Iran and threatened to impose sanctions on countries that continue to trade with Tehran, undermining their continued economic ties.

But the dilemma for him is that China is the Islamic Republic’s largest economic partner, making it difficult to imagine Beijing submitting to Washington’s dictates.

This is primarily due to China’s strong demand for Iranian oil, as well as its reluctance to turn Iran into another Venezuela. The collapse of the Iranian regime and subsequent American hegemony would be a painful blow to China.

Second, his diplomatic credibility will take a severe hit in front of the world if he follows US orders. Here the issue is related to prestige and status. China cannot pretend to be under the coercion of another country. It should also be noted that these measures are against international law, which China officially adheres to.

Finally, although China is undemocratic, it has a public opinion that is extremely sensitive to anything that affects national dignity and will never accept such concessions. Pride in Chinese nationalism is, in fact, a fundamental pillar of the Communist Party’s hegemony over society.

Therefore, the American president made a threat, which he did not have the power to carry out. It’s hard to imagine him getting involved in a trade war just days before a visit by the Chinese president, who categorically denies such a war.

Xi Jinping’s upcoming visit will allow Donald Trump to boast of tangible successes to American voters at a time when he lacks positive achievements and faces losing his majority in Congress.

Moreover, the timing of this visit may raise some questions. Of course, Xi Jinping will return the greetings to Donald Trump, who visited Beijing in May 2026, but the interval between such bilateral visits is usually much longer.

In addition, another opportunity would be for the Chinese president to visit the United States to attend the G20 summit scheduled to be held in Florida in December 2026. He could use this international summit to extend his stay and hold a bilateral meeting with Trump.

By choosing to make this visit in September, Xi Jinping presents himself with two options: either make a second short trip to the United States or skip the G20 summit, sending a negative diplomatic signal.

Why was this date chosen?

Simply put, give it to Donald Trump ahead of the midterm elections scheduled for early November.

Economic deals are expected to be announced, including huge Chinese purchases from the United States. In an effort to reduce the massive $1.2 trillion US trade deficit, China is receiving $200 billion.

Struggling Boeing is likely to have its share of orders, as will American farmers, who are suffering from a severe economic crisis.

The absence of major contracts during Trump’s visit to China in May surprised observers, but this was due to the failure to sign them until the summer, as American voters would have forgotten about them by the time they went to the polls.

Therefore, Xi Jinping’s upcoming visit will allow Donald Trump to boast of tangible successes to American voters at a time when he lacks positive achievements and faces the specter of losing his majority in Congress.

After unraveling the mystery of choosing the date, another mystery emerges: Why would Xi Jinping do this favor to Donald Trump? Why is he lending a helping hand to his main rival?

It is likely that this is due to his certain satisfaction with the actions of the American president. China’s president looks on with some happiness as his counterpart sinks into the quagmire of a war against Iran and exposes his impotence to the world.

China’s leaders are patiently waiting for their opportunity, watching Donald Trump caricaturally insult leaders of other countries, including allies. Because they believe this approach will accelerate China’s rapprochement with the United States

The trade war against Canada, despite being a historical ally, has brought closer the distance between Ottawa and Beijing. Donald Trump’s harshness alienates many countries and alienates them from the United States, especially since this harshness has proved ineffective in achieving the desired goals. Therefore, Xi Jinping is serving his interests to Donald Trump; The latter, contrary to his statements, contributes more to the weakening of the United States than to the restoration of its glory.

However, the most important challenge for China remains Donald Trump’s ambiguous position regarding Taiwan.

The island’s fate is a matter of great importance to Beijing, something Xi wanted to raise ahead of a summit with Donald Trump in May.

On the flight back from that visit, the American president indicated that Taiwan should not declare its independence because it is 9,500 miles from the United States and because the latter would find it extremely difficult to help. Because of that great distance.

No US president has ever distanced himself from Taiwan on this scale. It is worth noting that Joe Biden twice said during the reading that the United States would take the initiative to save Taiwan if it was attacked by China, thereby going beyond his country’s official and traditional position.

Donald Trump’s reference to the 9,500 miles separating the United States from Taiwan suggests that this statement may have been a long time in the making. In fact, we doubt that he possesses sufficient geographical knowledge to be able to know by heart the distance that separates his country from the island.

So China’s leaders are patiently waiting for their opportunity, watching Donald Trump caricaturally insult the leaders of other countries, including allies. Because they are convinced that this approach will accelerate the pace of China’s rapprochement with the United States.